Retirement Planning
Many young people feel that retirement is far away from them. But as life expectancy grows and societies age, longevity risk (being alive but out of money) may be more frightening than the risk of death.
- The effect of compounding: starting to save for retirement at 20 is far easier than starting at 40.
- Social insurance is not enough: public pensions (social insurance) usually provide only a basic living guarantee (a replacement rate typically in the range of 40%-60%); a comfortable retirement has to be funded by your own savings.
- Inflation: prices decades from now will be far higher than they are today.
The retirement system of most countries is built on three pillars:
-
Pillar one: public pensions (led by the government)
- Such as China’s basic pension insurance.
- Characteristics: broad coverage, low guarantees, mandatory contributions.
-
Pillar two: occupational pensions (led by the employer)
- Such as China’s enterprise annuity or the US 401(k).
- Characteristics: contributions are shared by employer and employee, and there are usually tax advantages.
-
Pillar three: personal pensions (led by the individual)
- Such as personal savings, commercial pension insurance, or individual retirement accounts (IRA).
- Characteristics: entirely under your own control, flexible and varied.
The 4% Rule
This is a classic rule of thumb used to work out the total amount of money you need in retirement.
Definition
A definition is a precise description of what a concept, a term, or an object means. Understanding definitions is the foundation of learning any field, and every concept has its own exact meaning.
If you withdraw 4% from your retirement portfolio each year to cover your living costs, and the principal is never exhausted (assuming the investment return covers both inflation and the withdrawals), then the total retirement fund you need should be 25 times your annual expenses.
Formula:
Example:
If you need 100,000 yuan of living expenses per year after retiring, then you need to save:
yuan.
FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) means “financial independence, retire early”.
- Core idea: a minimalist lifestyle, a high savings rate (50%-70%), and rapidly accumulating assets worth 25 times your annual spending through investing, so that you can retire in your thirties or forties.
- Lean FIRE: the minimalist version — lower your material desires and retire with less money.
- Fat FIRE: the affluent version — accumulate more wealth and enjoy a high-quality retirement.
- Barista FIRE: quit the high-pressure job and take a relaxed part-time job to cover part of your expenses, with the rest coming from investment returns.
For modern people, retirement does not mean stopping work; it means stopping working for money.
You can choose to keep working, but out of interest and passion rather than out of necessity. It is this state of having choices that is the ultimate goal of retirement planning.
The best time to plant a tree was ten years ago; the second best time is now. Retirement planning is no different. Start putting aside a sum for your future self every month from now on, and time will give you the best return.
Terms Used in This Article
| English Term | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Replacement Rate | The share of your pre-retirement salary replaced by the pension you draw afterwards |
| 4% Rule | A rule of thumb for the annual withdrawal rate from a retirement portfolio |
| Financial Independence, Retire Early | Financial independence and early retirement |
| Longevity Risk | The risk of outliving your savings |
